To catch up on the nuts and bolts and basics, read this piece. Here we will look at how passing styles change depending on game state. We don’t want to look just at teams who are ahead and behind as that will wind up basically looking at Liverpool a lot in the ahead state and Ipswich a lot in the behind state. So we look at how each team shifts from neutral game state, so we look at a certain pass type and figure how often each team would play that pass if they played their neutral pass rate. So lets look at an example: the cross into the box from the left side: that is played 1.01% of the time by Spurs at even game states. They have played 1027 passes when trailing, so we would expect 10.4 crosses from the left. We’ve seen 19 of them, for a +8.6 over expectation. We do this for every team and get +172 more crosses from the left from trailing teams then you would expect (583 played from 440 expected, for a 142% comparison). We can see on our chart below that is one of the passes that begins to be played a lot more often for teams trailing. This makes sense.
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Going clustering to spread winter cheer: Game…
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To catch up on the nuts and bolts and basics, read this piece. Here we will look at how passing styles change depending on game state. We don’t want to look just at teams who are ahead and behind as that will wind up basically looking at Liverpool a lot in the ahead state and Ipswich a lot in the behind state. So we look at how each team shifts from neutral game state, so we look at a certain pass type and figure how often each team would play that pass if they played their neutral pass rate. So lets look at an example: the cross into the box from the left side: that is played 1.01% of the time by Spurs at even game states. They have played 1027 passes when trailing, so we would expect 10.4 crosses from the left. We’ve seen 19 of them, for a +8.6 over expectation. We do this for every team and get +172 more crosses from the left from trailing teams then you would expect (583 played from 440 expected, for a 142% comparison). We can see on our chart below that is one of the passes that begins to be played a lot more often for teams trailing. This makes sense.